So Florida
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 84.7181Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.1) 34- 7 906 A Florida SEC ( 4- 8, 79.1) 18-16 913 A Miami ACC (12- 3, 92.2) 12-49 920 H So Car St 63-14 1003 H Charlotte AME ( 1-11, 49.9) 54-26 1010 A No Texas AME (12- 2, 82.8) 63-36 1018 H Fla Atlantic AME ( 4- 8, 70.2) 48-13 1025 A Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31-34 1106 H UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 77.0) 55-23 1115 A Navy AME (10- 2, 78.8) 38-41 1122 A UAB AME ( 4- 8, 68.2) 48-18 1129 H Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 52- 3 1217 N Old Dominion SUN (10- 3, 81.6) 10-24
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 H Boise State 34- 7 27 10 ++ 4.11
906 A Florida 18-16 2 0 1.63
913 A Miami 12-49 -37 -13 -1.27
1003 H Charlotte 54-26 28 40 0.00
1010 A No Texas 63-36 27 -3 +++ 17.30
1018 H Fla Atlantic 48-13 35 20 0.00
1025 A Memphis 31-34 -3 2 -- -4.76
1106 H UTSA 55-23 32 13 1.02
1115 A Navy 38-41 -3 1 - -3.66
1122 A UAB 48-18 30 11 + 2.78
1129 H Rice 52- 3 49 21 0.00
1217 N Old Dominion 10-24 -14 3 --- -17.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1217 N Old Dominion 10-24 -14 3 --- -17.15 1025 A Memphis 31-34 -3 2 -- -4.76 1115 A Navy 38-41 -3 1 - -3.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A No Texas 63-36 27 -3 +++ 17.30 828 H Boise State 34- 7 27 10 ++ 4.11 1122 A UAB 48-18 30 11 + 2.78 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Boise State ( 9- 4, 80.1) 34- 7 -19.81 31.41 -5.26 1.06 55.56
3 A Florida ( 4- 8, 79.1) 18-16 -20.81 30.41 5.26 1.06 75.80
3 A Miami (12- 3, 92.2) 12-49 -7.71 43.51 5.26 1.06 -1.30
3 H Charlotte ( 1-11, 49.9) 54-26 -50.04 1.18 -5.26 1.06 -8.67
3 A No Texas (12- 2, 82.8) 63-36 -17.14 34.07 5.26 1.06 83.59
3 H Fla Atlantic ( 4- 8, 70.2) 48-13 -29.66 21.56 -5.26 1.06 34.64
3 A Memphis ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31-34 -22.20 29.02 5.26 1.06 -9.00
3 H UTSA ( 7- 5, 77.0) 55-23 -22.90 28.32 -5.26 1.06 49.00
3 A Navy (10- 2, 78.8) 38-41 -21.10 30.12 5.26 1.06 -8.42
3 A UAB ( 4- 8, 68.2) 48-18 -31.66 19.56 5.26 1.06 52.73
3 H Rice ( 6- 7, 68.8) 52- 3 -31.09 20.13 -5.26 1.06 31.60
3 N Old Dominion (10- 3, 81.6) 10-24 -18.33 32.89 -0.00 1.06 -9.74
------
345.79
|
winning pts = 374.2459 losing points = -28.4563
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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